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Chapter overview

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Four chapters, 68 pages. See the entire site in one place — grouped so it is clear which subpages belong to which chapter.

Chapter 1· 16 pages

What does immigration cost — and why?

We start with the big picture, then go to what actually drives the outcome: employment. From there we follow the money over time — second generation, lifetime costs, and how it ripples into the business climate and housing market.

  1. 01
    Cost of immigration
    The fiscal whole. NIER (Special Study 117, 2025) and ESO 2024 — the net result and the assumptions behind it.
    /en/total-cost
  2. 02
    Work decides
    The single most important variable. The employment gap between native- and foreign-born explains almost the entire cost — not origin itself.
    /en/work-decides
  3. 03
    Work & benefits — time series
    Employment split by native/foreign-born, households on income support and total benefits paid. SCB AKU and Socialstyrelsen — the raw data behind the chapter.
    /en/work-and-benefits
  4. 04
    Tax burden
    41.4% of GDP in 2024 — eighth highest in the OECD, seven points above the average. What do we get for the money? Sources: OECD, Ekonomifakta.
    /en/tax-burden
  5. 05
    Energy & electricity
    SE1–SE4, the north/south gap and the 2022 price peak. Closed reactors, EU gas, weather — many causes, no simple conclusion.
    /en/energy
  6. 06
    By residence permit
    Labour, family, refugee, student — four very different economic outcomes. Why averaged totals hide more than they show.
    /en/residence-permits
  7. 07
    Second generation
    Does the outcome converge over generations? SCB data on education, employment and income for children of foreign-born.
    /en/second-generation
  8. 08
    Long-term welfare costs
    Pensions, healthcare, elderly care over the life cycle. When costs arise and who bears them.
    /en/long-term-costs
  9. 09
    Lifecycle: 74,000 SEK/year
    How costs distribute across a lifetime — childhood, working age, retirement. Breakdown of net contribution by age interval.
    /en/lifecycle-costs
  10. 10
    Cohorts over time
    Long-term costs per immigration cohort — how outcomes differ between groups arriving under different periods and rules.
    /en/cohorts-over-time
  11. 11
    Business & talent flight
    Outflow of highly educated and entrepreneurs. What Tillväxtanalys and Migration Agency emigration data show.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/talent-flight
  12. 12
    Property prices
    How population pressure and housing shortages translate into prices and rents — and where the effect is largest.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/property-prices
  13. 13
    Municipal reality
    What it means in the municipal budget — social services, schools, income support. NIER model by immigration reason.
    /en/municipal-reality
  14. 14
    Municipal — flat rate vs actual cost
    State flat-rate compensation rarely covers the full bill. Income support, SFI, schools and social services per Riksrevisionen, Statskontoret and SKR.
    /en/municipal-finances
  15. 15
    Scenarios — adjust assumptions
    Turn the dials on employment, volume and composition yourself. See how the public economy responds to different assumptions.
    /en/future-scenarios
  16. 16
    Sida & foreign aid
    Review of UO7 (~56 bn SEK). Volume, top recipients, deductions and critique from EBA, Riksrevisionen and OECD DAC.
    /en/aid-sida
Chapter 2· 13 pages

What happened to safety in Sweden?

We start with overall crime statistics and insecurity, then enter the specific phenomena that set Sweden apart: shootings, bombings, sexual offences and honour contexts. Finally the geography — vulnerable areas, gangs' grip on children and businesses, and whether camera surveillance actually helps.

  1. 01
    Crime and over-representation
    Whole-picture data from Brå. Development over time, which crimes are rising or falling, and what research says about over-representation controlled for socioeconomics.
    /en/criminality
  2. 02
    Safety — NTU & hate crimes
    Share feeling unsafe outdoors, avoiding activities, and reported hate crimes. Official time series from Brå's NTU and hate-crime statistics.
    /en/safety
  3. 03
    Shootings — Sweden vs Nordics
    Per capita comparison with Norway, Denmark, Finland. How Sweden went from norm to outlier in under 15 years.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/shootings-nordic
  4. 04
    Bombings — Europe's highest
    Bombings in residential settings. Sweden leads the EU — the trend and what police say about perpetrator profile.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/explosions
  5. 05
    Sexual crime
    Reported and self-reported rape over time. Brå 2024 report on perpetrators' backgrounds.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/sexual-crime
  6. 06
    Women's safety
    NTU data on perceived safety outdoors after dark. Differences between neighbourhoods and ages.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/womens-safety
  7. 07
    Honour culture
    Honour-related violence and oppression — scope, where it occurs, and the authorities' 20-year underestimate.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/honour-culture
  8. 08
    Vulnerable areas
    Police list of vulnerable, especially vulnerable and risk areas — criteria, development and what parallel societies mean.
    /en/vulnerable-areas
  9. 09
    Vulnerable areas — development
    How the list has grown and changed since 2015 — which areas added, which removed.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/vulnerable-areas
  10. 10
    Gang violence & business
    Protection fees, takeovers of restaurants and garages, infiltration of construction and public procurement.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/gang-violence
  11. 11
    Children in gang environments
    Recruitment under age of criminal responsibility, child soldiers hired for murder, and limited tools of social services.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/children-gang-areas
  12. 12
    Sentencing, recidivism, capacity
    Brå recidivism data, Prison Service occupancy and three research perspectives on what works — without claiming an answer.
    /en/sentencing
  13. 13
    Does camera surveillance work?
    What research says about cameras' effect on crime — what they prevent, what they only displace, and where they work best.
    /en/camera-surveillance
Chapter 3· 21 pages

How has Sweden changed — and what do the numbers say?

We start as broadly as possible: Sweden 1990 vs Sweden 2025. Then we zoom in on demographics — big cities, municipalities, language at home, religion and social trust. Finally the tools to see for yourself (your municipality, maps) and the outward perspective — how other countries do it.

  1. 01
    What happened to Sweden? — overview
    Chapter entry point: 30–40 years of change in crime, demographics, trust, honour culture and business — with official sources and the headline charts.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden
  2. 02
    Sweden then and now (1990 → 2025)
    Population, composition, economy, crime, schools. A compilation showing the magnitude of change.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/then-and-now-overview
  3. 03
    Demographic change
    SCB data on foreign-born and second generation over time. Pyramid and time series for the whole period.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/demographics
  4. 04
    Pensions & demographics
    Public debt is low (~32% of GDP) — the dependency ratio is the challenge. SCB projection to 2070.
    /en/demographics-pensions
  5. 05
    Healthcare & elder care — time series
    Care guarantee (90 days), youth psychiatry wait times (30 days) and IVO criticism of elder care. Official statistics from SKR and IVO.
    /en/healthcare
  6. 06
    Housing & rent control
    8.8-year queue in Stockholm 2024. Rent control — motives and critique without resolving the debate.
    /en/housing
  7. 07
    Big cities then and now
    Stockholm, Gothenburg, Malmö — how the composition has changed neighbourhood by neighbourhood.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/big-cities
  8. 08
    Demographics by municipality
    All 290 municipalities — foreign-born share, development 2000–2024 and projection.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/demographics-municipal
  9. 09
    Origin — where people came from
    Deep dive into which countries foreign-born residents came from, how the composition has shifted over time, and what it means demographically.
    /en/origin
  10. 10
    Swedish as mother tongue
    Share of pupils with Swedish as mother tongue in compulsory school, by municipality and over time. Skolverket data.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/swedish-at-home
  11. 11
    Islam in Sweden
    Pew, SST and SCB-based estimates of Muslim population over time — why the numbers vary and which range is reasonable.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/islam-in-sweden
  12. 12
    Mosques
    Number of mosques, funding and denominations. What SST grant statistics show.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/mosques
  13. 13
    Social trust
    SOM Institute measurements. How high Swedish trust has developed — overall and broken down by domain.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/social-trust
  14. 14
    Schools & PISA
    PISA development 2000–2022 against the Nordics. Including National Audit Office report on pupils excluded from the 2018 measurement.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/school-pisa
  15. 15
    School results — time series
    Year-9 upper-secondary eligibility, merit value and PISA 2000–2024, split by native/foreign-born. Skolverket and OECD — the raw data behind the chapter.
    /en/schools
  16. 16
    Your municipality
    Look up your own municipality — population, economy, crime and vulnerable areas in one report.
    /en/municipality
  17. 17
    Maps & data
    Interactive Sweden maps: demographics, net cost, vulnerable areas. Click for full municipal report.
    /en/map
  18. 18
    History 1983–2022
    Long time series on immigration, asylum and net contribution. Turning points and political decisions in one.
    /en/historical
  19. 19
    Other countries
    Comparative figures for Denmark, Norway, Germany, Netherlands — net contribution and employment.
    /en/countries
  20. 20
    Other countries — how they do it
    Policy and rules in comparable countries: language requirements, support requirements, citizenship, family migration.
    /en/other-countries
  21. 21
    Gender dysphoria in adolescents (healthcare 13–17)
    National Board of Health incidence data for girls 13–17. The shift toward caution: Karolinska 2021, SBU 2022, Cass 2024.
    /en/culture-and-values/youth-gender-dysphoria
Chapter 4· 18 pages

What happened to values — and institutions?

We start with values over time and the political decisions that shaped Sweden. Then into the societal shifts most visible: identity politics, gender, government language and media logic. Finally tools for scrutiny — promises vs statistics, comparisons and what-if simulator.

  1. 01
    Culture & values — overview
    Chapter entry point: values surveys, reform decisions, government language, Pride institutionalisation and media logic in one view.
    /en/culture-and-values
  2. 02
    Values over time (1990 → 2022)
    World Values Survey and SOM. How Swedes answer questions on family, religion, authority and nation — then and now.
    /en/culture-and-values/values-over-time
  3. 03
    Decisions that shaped Sweden
    Timeline of the policy decisions — migration, integration and social policy — that led to today.
    /en/culture-and-values/decisions-that-shaped-sweden
  4. 04
    How did we get here? (1975 → today)
    The road from 1975 to today — the parliamentary decisions, directives and rules that step by step shaped today's Sweden.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/how-did-we-get-here
  5. 05
    Freedom of expression
    From the world's first freedom-of-the-press act in 1766 to today's 53 % reporting self-censorship. Laws that widened and restricted — and what the surveys say.
    /en/freedom-of-expression
  6. 06
    Democracy — how democratic?
    Freedom House, EIU and V-Dem rank Sweden high. Election pledges are kept 75–80 % of the time. The representation gap sits at ~30 %. Scrutiny, not campaign — you set the threshold.
    /en/democracy
  7. 07
    Pride — movement to institution
    From protest to partners on Resumé's list: authorities, large companies and banks as official sponsors.
    /en/culture-and-values/pride-institutionalisation
  8. 08
    Gender segregation
    Gender-segregated swimming, bathing times and association activities. Where it occurs and how it is justified.
    /en/what-happened-to-sweden/gender-segregation
  9. 09
    Government language
    How government texts have changed — what is removed, added and which terms have fallen out of use.
    /en/culture-and-values/government-language
  10. 10
    Media vs reality
    The gap between what statistics show and what news reporting highlights — selected cases with sources.
    /en/culture-and-values/media-vs-reality
  11. 11
    Media ownership & funding
    Three groups own 69% of the daily press. The public service fee moved to the tax bill in 2019. Trust is falling. Sources: Nordicom, MPRT, SOM.
    /en/media
  12. 12
    Promises vs statistics
    Political promises from 1990 onward compared with statistical outcomes. Broken, half-kept and kept.
    /en/promises-vs-statistics
  13. 13
    Comparisons
    What do the numbers mean in practice? Concrete comparisons translating billions into everyday.
    /en/comparisons
  14. 14
    Compare municipalities
    Tool to compare immigration, arrivals and net cost between any municipalities side by side.
    /en/compare-municipalities
  15. 15
    Compare trends
    Overlay any two time series across categories — see how crime, schools, economy and demographics move relative to each other.
    /en/compare-trends
  16. 16
    What-if simulator
    Turn the dials on employment, volume and composition — see how the public economy responds.
    /en/what-if
  17. 17
    Policy proposals
    Six concrete proposals for a better net contribution — support requirements, language requirements, labour and family migration. What each would mean in kronor.
    /en/policy-measures
  18. 18
    Agency oversight & criticism
    A compilation of criticism already issued by the National Audit Office, JO, JK, KU, IMY, Statskontoret, EBA and public inquiries — with the agency's own reply. No editorial verdict, no scandal framing.
    /en/agency-oversight