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What happened to Sweden?

Insecure everyday life

Gang violence and its impact on Swedish business

In twenty years Sweden has gone from being one of Europe's safest countries to topping the EU's statistics for lethal firearm violence — and now also for bombings. The effects reach far beyond the directly affected families and into the local business climate.

The question this page answers

The question this page answers

How does serious gang violence affect Swedish businesses, investment and local commerce — and what can actually be documented in the data?

At a glance

At a glance

Key figures — the most important numbers on this page

2023

≈ 1 in 4

Greater-Stockholm business owners considering relocation for safety reasons (Chamber survey)

2024

≈ 30 %

Firms in exposed sectors citing crime as a top-three obstacle (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise)

2024

44

Fatal shootings in Sweden (Brå)

2025

189

Completed bombings (Police)

2023

≈ SEK 2 bn

Police special operation against serious organised crime (annual report)

2025

59

Areas on the Police 'Lägesbild' list

Ten years, two records

Fatal shootings per year(Brå)

2011
17 (2011)
2022–2025
63 (2022) → 53 (2023) → 44 (2024)

Completed bombings(Police)

2011
< 30 (1990s)
2022–2025
149 (2023) → 195 (2024) → 189 (2025)

Children (<18) killed in gang shootings(Brå/SVT)

2011
1
2022–2025
12

Police vulnerable areas(Police)

2011
53 (2015)
2022–2025
59 (2025)

Sweden in 2024 has more bombings per capita than any other country in the EU and more fatal firearm victims among young men than any country in Western Europe (EUDA, Europol EU SOCTA 2025).

How to read this: The table shows register data from Brå and the Police — not surveys. It does not show how firm turnover or the number of establishments has changed; that requires separate survey data and register-based establishment decisions.

What the data shows

What does the data show?

Objective observations — not interpretations

  • Business surveys (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, Chambers of Commerce) rank insecurity from 2023 as one of the most common obstacles to enterprise in affected municipalities — especially in retail, hospitality and personal services.
  • Register data (Brå, Police) show a rising trend for bombings and a continued high level of fatal shootings in or near commercial environments.
  • Individual cases — burned-down restaurants, closed shops, cancelled bus lines — are documented in local media but there is no national aggregate statistic.
  • Insurers' claims data (Svensk Försäkring) show rising premiums and coverage exclusions for certain postal areas, but are not published as an open time series.
  • Research on the economic consequences of gang violence in Sweden is still thin — a handful of studies from IFN and Ratio, but no established consensus model.

Definitions

Definitions

How the numbers are counted — and what they do not cover

Crime-exposed business
A business that during a given period has been subjected to at least one crime — theft, vandalism, threats, robbery, extortion or fraud. Measured in the Confederation of Swedish Enterprise's business panel and Brå's Business Survey.Source: Brå — Business Survey; Confederation of Swedish Enterprise — business panel.
Extortion / protection racket
Demand for payment from a criminal actor as a condition for a business to operate unmolested. Regulated as extortion (Penal Code ch. 9 §4). Brå judges the dark figure to be very large — few incidents are reported for fear of reprisal.Source: Brå — Unlawful influence on business owners (2022).
Business climate survey
The Confederation of Swedish Enterprise's annual survey of about 30 000 owners in every municipality. Since 2016 it includes questions on insecurity and crime as barriers to enterprise. It is a subjective perception measure, not a register source.Source: Confederation of Swedish Enterprise — Business Climate.
Establishment decision
A firm's choice to start, expand, relocate or shut down operations at a given site. Driven by rents, skills supply, customer base, infrastructure — and in recent years increasingly also by the security situation. No Swedish agency publishes aggregate data directly linking establishments to crime.Source: Tillväxtverket — Firms' conditions and reality.
Claims frequency (insurance)
Compensated claims per insured unit per year. Used in property insurance to set premiums. Higher fire and vandalism frequencies in certain postal areas lead to higher premiums or exclusions in the terms.Source: Svensk Försäkring — statistics and key figures.
Completed bombing
Detonation of an explosive that was actually carried out (as opposed to preparation or a discovered unexploded device). The Police time series counts completed bombings; Brå's statistic for 'public endangerment' is broader and includes attempts.Source: Police — annual bombing statistics.
Organised crime
Structured criminal activity in a group with an economic purpose that continues over time. The Police and the EU (Europol) use overlapping definitions. During the 2020s Sweden has been classified as one of the EU's most gang-violence-affected countries per capita (Europol EU SOCTA 2025).Source: Europol EU SOCTA 2025; Police — organised-crime situational picture.
Criminal economy
Umbrella term for financial flows in organised crime — narcotics, welfare fraud, scams, extortion, labour exploitation, money laundering. Brå (2023) estimated the size at SEK 100–150 bn per year, with a wide uncertainty range.Source: Brå 2022:1 — Criminal networks and their economy.

A criminologist on the scale of the problem

What we are seeing now is not ordinary crime statistics. It is a structural problem driven by a relatively small number of family-based networks with deep roots in specific neighbourhoods.

Amir Rostami, criminologist, Stockholm University (2023)

Brå's own research confirms the network character: a handful of large criminal families and clans account for a disproportionate share of the lethal violence and recruit children as young as 11–13 as contract killers.

What happens to businesses

The Confederation of Swedish Enterprise reports that more than one in three SMEs in the most affected sectors say crime is now a top-three challenge. Shops in vulnerable areas report systematic theft, threats and protection rackets; several large chains have left individual districts entirely. The business climate has become a security question. Surveys from business organisations are member voices, not independent statistics — we report register data from Brå and the Police alongside them wherever it exists.

Method and uncertainty

  • Shooting and bombing series come from ongoing Police statistics. "Completed bombings" is narrower than Brå's "public endangerment incl. attempts".
  • Surveys from business organisations reflect members' perceptions, not independent crime statistics.
  • Insurers' claims frequencies and premiums are not published openly per postal area; the picture builds on Svensk Försäkring aggregates and interviews.
  • The Nordic multiplier (≈ 10×) refers to fatal shootings per capita among young men in the peak years 2022–2023.

Primary sources

Primary sources

Agencies and research institutions behind this page

6

agencies/institutions

8

reports & studies

3

primary datasets

Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

Short answers to what is most often discussed

No. No Swedish authority publishes register data that directly links firm closure or relocation to crime. We have surveys (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, Chambers) showing attitudes and intentions, but no complete register data on actual decisions.

Related topics

The question this page answers

How does serious gang violence affect Swedish businesses, investment and local commerce — and what can actually be documented in the data?

At a glance

Key figures — the most important numbers on this page

2023

≈ 1 in 4

Greater-Stockholm business owners considering relocation for safety reasons (Chamber survey)

2024

≈ 30 %

Firms in exposed sectors citing crime as a top-three obstacle (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise)

2024

44

Fatal shootings in Sweden (Brå)

2025

189

Completed bombings (Police)

2023

≈ SEK 2 bn

Police special operation against serious organised crime (annual report)

2025

59

Areas on the Police 'Lägesbild' list

What does the data show?

Objective observations — not interpretations

  • Business surveys (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, Chambers of Commerce) rank insecurity from 2023 as one of the most common obstacles to enterprise in affected municipalities — especially in retail, hospitality and personal services.
  • Register data (Brå, Police) show a rising trend for bombings and a continued high level of fatal shootings in or near commercial environments.
  • Individual cases — burned-down restaurants, closed shops, cancelled bus lines — are documented in local media but there is no national aggregate statistic.
  • Insurers' claims data (Svensk Försäkring) show rising premiums and coverage exclusions for certain postal areas, but are not published as an open time series.
  • Research on the economic consequences of gang violence in Sweden is still thin — a handful of studies from IFN and Ratio, but no established consensus model.

Method note
The page combines three data sources: (1) register data from Brå and the Police (shootings, bombings), (2) survey data from the Confederation of Swedish Enterprise and the chambers of commerce (member firms), (3) industry statistics from Insurance Sweden (aggregates). Survey data are not independent crime statistics — they reflect employers' perceptions. The Nordic multiple refers to per-capita fatal shootings in peak years 2022–2023.

Definitions

How the numbers are counted — and what they do not cover

Crime-exposed business
A business that during a given period has been subjected to at least one crime — theft, vandalism, threats, robbery, extortion or fraud. Measured in the Confederation of Swedish Enterprise's business panel and Brå's Business Survey.Source: Brå — Business Survey; Confederation of Swedish Enterprise — business panel.
Extortion / protection racket
Demand for payment from a criminal actor as a condition for a business to operate unmolested. Regulated as extortion (Penal Code ch. 9 §4). Brå judges the dark figure to be very large — few incidents are reported for fear of reprisal.Source: Brå — Unlawful influence on business owners (2022).
Business climate survey
The Confederation of Swedish Enterprise's annual survey of about 30 000 owners in every municipality. Since 2016 it includes questions on insecurity and crime as barriers to enterprise. It is a subjective perception measure, not a register source.Source: Confederation of Swedish Enterprise — Business Climate.
Establishment decision
A firm's choice to start, expand, relocate or shut down operations at a given site. Driven by rents, skills supply, customer base, infrastructure — and in recent years increasingly also by the security situation. No Swedish agency publishes aggregate data directly linking establishments to crime.Source: Tillväxtverket — Firms' conditions and reality.
Claims frequency (insurance)
Compensated claims per insured unit per year. Used in property insurance to set premiums. Higher fire and vandalism frequencies in certain postal areas lead to higher premiums or exclusions in the terms.Source: Svensk Försäkring — statistics and key figures.
Completed bombing
Detonation of an explosive that was actually carried out (as opposed to preparation or a discovered unexploded device). The Police time series counts completed bombings; Brå's statistic for 'public endangerment' is broader and includes attempts.Source: Police — annual bombing statistics.
Organised crime
Structured criminal activity in a group with an economic purpose that continues over time. The Police and the EU (Europol) use overlapping definitions. During the 2020s Sweden has been classified as one of the EU's most gang-violence-affected countries per capita (Europol EU SOCTA 2025).Source: Europol EU SOCTA 2025; Police — organised-crime situational picture.
Criminal economy
Umbrella term for financial flows in organised crime — narcotics, welfare fraud, scams, extortion, labour exploitation, money laundering. Brå (2023) estimated the size at SEK 100–150 bn per year, with a wide uncertainty range.Source: Brå 2022:1 — Criminal networks and their economy.

Primary sources

Agencies and research institutions behind this page

6

agencies/institutions

8

reports & studies

3

primary datasets

Frequently asked questions

Short answers to what is most often discussed

No. No Swedish authority publishes register data that directly links firm closure or relocation to crime. We have surveys (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise, Chambers) showing attitudes and intentions, but no complete register data on actual decisions.

Logical next steps if you want to understand the background

Sources for this page

The data comes from official primary sources.

Read the full investigation of how Sweden has changed.

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