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Culture & values

Value shift

Values over time — what Swedes answered 1990 → 2022

The World Values Survey and SOM Institute have asked the same questions for three decades. Trust is stable, religion's importance has risen, acceptance of homosexuality has moved 6.38 → 8.71 (1–10 scale), and opinion on immigration follows a U-curve: 61 % → 40 % → 53 %.

Memory

Sverige har inte ‘blivit mindre svenskt’ enligt sina egna invånare. Den nationella stoltheten har gått från 84 % till 93 %. Men opinionen om invandring följer en U-kurva: ned till 40 % 2015, upp till 53 % 2020.

1990 — vill ta emot färre flyktingar

61 %

SOM-institutet

2020 — vill ta emot färre flyktingar

53 %

SOM-institutet

How to read this

Data in context

How to read this

The charts below show what the numbers say — not an interpretation. Where data point in different directions (e.g. stable trust but rising insecurity) we show both series rather than pick a narrative.

Swedish values — WVS Wave 2–7 + SOM Institute, 1990–2022

1990–2022 · percent of respondents · Sverige

Share of Swedes agreeing with four values questions. Acceptance of homosexuality is measured on a 1–10 scale and multiplied by 10 so it fits the same chart.

Swedish values — WVS Wave 2–7 + SOM Institute, 1990–2022 · percent of respondents · 1990–2022 · Sverige
ÅrReligion ‘important’ (%)Proud of Sweden (%)Trust most people (%)Acceptance of homosex. (1–10 ×10)
1 990248463,8
1 9963189,45968,4
2 00062
2 00636,991,880,8
2 01062
2 0113494,182,3
2 01564
2 02036,393,26287,1
2 02263

Method: World Values Survey waves 2–7 combined with the SOM Institute's annual surveys. Measurement points are unevenly spaced; the lines interpolate between waves.

Source: World Values Survey, Wave 2–7 · SOM Institute, University of Gothenburg

Immigration opinion — SOM Institute (the U-curve)

Share who wants to receive fewer refugees, SOM Institute 1990–2022
61*
45
41
40*
53
52
199020002010201520202022
  • 1990*SOM
  • 2015*Lägstanivå

Human consequence

Persona

En väljare som besvarat SOM-undersökningen varje decennium sedan 1990.

Then

  • Sade 1990 att religion var ganska oviktig (24 % ‘viktig’).
  • Sade 1990 att hen ville ta emot färre flyktingar (61 %).
  • Sade 1990 att homosexualitet låg mitt på skalan (6,4 av 10).

Now

  • Säger 2020 att religion är viktig för fler (36 %).
  • Säger 2020 igen att färre bör tas emot (53 %) — efter en dipp till 40 % 2015.
  • Säger 2020 att homosexualitet är acceptabelt (8,7 av 10).

2035

Hur förändras de fem indikatorerna i nästa SOM-rapport — och vilken kommer att röra sig mest?

Linjär framskrivning av 2010–2022 års lutning för invandringsopinion ger ≈ 57 % som vill ta emot färre 2030. För tillit: stabilt kring 63 %. Detta är extrapolering, inte prognos.

Sources for this page

The data comes from official primary sources.

Read the full investigation of how Sweden has changed.

Back to overview →

The question this page answers

How have Swedes' values changed over time according to recurring opinion and attitude surveys?

At a glance

Key figures — the most important numbers on this page

‘Religion is important’ 1990 → 2020

24 → 36 %

WVS Wave 2 → Wave 7. Share answering very/quite important.

Acceptance of homosexuality (1–10)

6.38 → 8.71

WVS 1990 → 2020. Scale 1 ‘never justifiable’ – 10 ‘always justifiable’.

Proud to be Swedish

84 → 93 %

WVS 1990 → 2017–2020. Share very/quite proud.

Trust most people

≈ 63 %

SOM 2023 — Sweden reports the OECD's highest measured interpersonal trust, stable since 1996.

‘Receive fewer refugees’

61 → 40 → 53 %

SOM 1990 · 2015 · 2020 — the U-curve of immigration opinion.

Respondents/wave, WVS Sweden

> 1,000

Nationally representative sample, face-to-face or web panel. Confidence interval ±3 pp.

What does the data show?

Objective observations — not interpretations

  • Opinion data show how Swedes have answered in recurring surveys — not how they actually behave or what values they hold unconsciously. The gap between stated tolerance and actual behaviour (e.g. residential patterns) is well documented.
  • Swedish values consistently sit in the extreme corner of Inglehart's cultural map: high secular-rational dimension, high self-expression dimension. This position is stable across all seven WVS waves 1981–2022.
  • Between generations there are clear differences on gender equality, LGBTQ rights and environment. Within generations change is smaller — most values follow the cohort, not the life cycle.
  • Regional differences (urban/rural) are smaller than party differences but larger than gender and age differences on many questions. Education explains more variance than income.
  • A rising self-report (e.g. ‘religion is important’) can be driven by demographic change in the sample rather than individual attitude shift. Cross-sectional data cannot separate these mechanisms without panel studies.
  • Attitude change shows simultaneity — not cause. WVS data say nothing about why the answers move, only that they move.

Method note
The World Values Survey (WVS) and European Values Study (EVS) are conducted as nationally representative cross-sectional surveys every 5–9 years; the SOM Institute annually. All three use random samples of 1,000–3,400 persons per wave with a margin of error of about ±2–3 pp for national figures. Question wordings have varied slightly between waves — direction over time is safer to compare than absolute level. Wave 4 (1999–2004) is missing for Sweden in WVS; only EVS data exist. Separating cohort effects (‘you keep the values of your youth’) from period effects (‘everyone changes at once’) and ageing requires panel studies or pseudo-panels — single WVS waves cannot do it. We therefore present the trends as observations, not explanations.

Definitions

How the numbers are counted — and what they do not cover

Value
Deep-lying, relatively stable judgement of what is desirable (freedom, equality, order). Changes slowly, often over generations.Usually measured via batteries of items (Schwartz Value Survey, WVS Inglehart index).
Attitude
Contextual assessment of a specific object (immigration, EU, nuclear power). Moves faster than values and responds to events, media and political rhetoric.
Norm
Collective expectation of behaviour in a given situation. May deviate from both values (‘I dislike it’) and behaviour (‘but I do it anyway’).
Behaviour
Actual action — voting, residence, consumption. Often differs from stated attitudes; social desirability bias affects survey answers.
Social trust
Share who agree that ‘most people can be trusted’. The SOM Institute measures annually; Sweden ~63 %, among the highest measured worldwide.Foreign studies (Uslaner et al.) distinguish generalised trust from particularised trust (in known persons).
Tolerance
Acceptance of opinions, behaviours or groups one personally dislikes. WVS measures via the ‘who would you not want as neighbour’ battery.
Individualism / collectivism
Cultural dimension (Hofstede, Triandis). Sweden is extremely individualist on Hofstede's scale yet simultaneously collectivist in institutional trust.
Secularisation
Reduced role of religion in society. Sweden is among the most secularised countries in most measures; self-reported ‘importance of religion’ has however not fallen in WVS 1990–2020 — likely a compositional effect.
Generation / cohort
Group born within the same period. Cohort effects are changes that stay with the group through life, distinct from life-cycle or period effects.
Opinion survey
Questionnaire to a random sample to estimate the population distribution. Quality depends on sampling frame, response rate and question wording.
Panel study
Same individuals interviewed several times. Can separate individual change from sampling effects — but suffers from attrition and panel fatigue.
Cross-sectional study
New sample at each measurement. Captures the population distribution but cannot separate individual from compositional change.
Sample
Randomly selected individuals from the population. Probability sampling is required for margin of error to be meaningful; web panels are probability samples only if recruitment is.
Confidence interval
Statistical interval that with a given probability (usually 95 %) covers the true population value. ±3 pp for national figures at n ≈ 1,000.

Primary sources

Agencies and research institutions behind this page

6

agencies/institutions

8

reports & studies

4

primary datasets

Frequently asked questions

Short answers to what is most often discussed

Yes. Sweden sits consistently in the extreme corner of Inglehart's cultural map (high secular-rational, high self-expression) — closest to Denmark, Norway and the Netherlands. This has been stable across all WVS waves since 1981.

Logical next steps if you want to understand the background