The data clash
Utopia vs Reality
How to read this
“The data clash” is the gap between the utopia — the image of Sweden as one of the world's best, safest and most equal countries — and the reality in the statistics. The charts below show what the numbers actually say, not what we wish they said.
Egen kategori införs
199520102024
Human consequence
Persona
A family in an apartment block in a mid-sized Swedish city.
Then
- Slept with windows open in summer.
- Let children play outside the stairwell unsupervised.
- Paid standard home insurance with no area surcharge.
Now
- Wakes to police helicopters or blasts once or twice a quarter.
- Stairwells have steel-reinforced doors and cameras.
- Insurance premiums rose after a bombing in the neighbouring block.
The Nordics — same metric
Method & uncertainty
Definitions
- — ”Sprängning” = detonation av sprängämne enligt 13 kap. brottsbalken. Försök räknas separat sedan 2017.
- — Före 2017 redovisades sprängdåd inom kategorin ”allmänfarlig ödeläggelse” utan särredovisning.
Uncertainties
- — Mörkertalet före 2017 är okänt; jämförelser med 1990-talet bygger på NFC:s retrospektiva sammanställning.
- — EU-jämförelser försvåras av att flera länder inte särredovisar sprängdåd kopplade till organiserad brottslighet.
2035
If the 2015–2024 trend continues, how many bombings will Sweden record in 2035?
A linear extrapolation of the last decade points to ≈ 700 cases per year by 2035. This is a mechanical projection, not a forecast.
Read the full investigation of how Sweden has changed.
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