NIER's published estimate – foreign-born, 2022
+6 bn SEK
+0,1 % of GDP
- Per person
- +SEK 2,700
- Population
- ~2,189,000
Sourced. Neutral. Open data.
Latest data update
Search topics, municipalities and statistics — or type a question.
Municipalities
Population, foreign background, schooling, crime, economy and elections — for each of Sweden's 290 municipalities. See all municipalities
Public safety, emergencies and major incidents.
A smaller feed of current disruptions.
Start here
New here? Pick an entry point. Everything is sourced and downloadable.
Five things you should know
Five key facts about Sweden, based on official statistics from government agencies and research institutes.
In 1990 the figures were 9.2 % and about 13 %.
Source: Statistics Sweden, 2024
Ruist (ESO 2018): ≈ SEK 74 bn/year lifetime. NIER (2025): about SEK 22 bn/year for the refugee group in cross-section. We show both.
Source: Ruist ESO 2018:3 · NIER 2025
189 completed bombings in 2025 (Police). Brå: 621 reports incl. attempts. H1 2026: sharp decline.
Source: The Police · Brå, 2025
Swedish 15-year-olds read worse in 2022 than in 2000 (516). OECD average is 476.
Source: OECD PISA, 2022
OECD average 476
Share with high interpersonal trust: 57 % (2025). Largest decline in socially vulnerable groups.
Source: The SOM Institute, 2025
Public finances
1,249.6billion kronor
Source: the Swedish National Debt Office, measure C (the central government's unconsolidated gross debt).
Monthly observations
Jan 2025 – Aug 2026
The national debt is the central government's own gross debt and is measured in a completely different way from the other cost figures on the site. The page shows its development, share of GDP, composition and what the debt costs.
Explore Sweden
What backs it up
Every figure on the site comes from a public source and can be traced back to it.
Scope of the database
About SverigefaktaData is updated continuously from official Swedish and international sources.
The cost clock
The clock is not a real-time measurement. It takes the annual figure of −22 billion SEK from Sweden's National Institute of Economic Research (NIER) and spreads it across the seconds of the year — so a big abstract total becomes tangible. The methodology link sits below the number.
Since you scrolled here · illustration
original prices · NIER 2025 · SALAR 2022 · Brå 2021:9
Default: NIER's net figure for the refugee group (−SEK 22bn/year). The other boxes are add-ons — they may overlap each other and the NIER net, toggle them on/off to compare.
Loading calculation …
≈ 000 000 refugee-years at 74,000 SEK (Ruist 2018, original prices)
Ruist's ESO 2018:3 gives the direct fiscal figure per refugee: about −74,000 SEK/year (2015 prices) measured across a whole lifetime. What falls outside is examined separately: municipal imbalance, the costs of crime and long-term consequences.
What one refugee costs the public sector net per year — lifetime average
Average net cost to the public sector (taxes in minus benefits and services out) per refugee per Joakim Ruist, ESO 2018:3. Calculated across the full life cycle — from arrival to retirement. The range depends on integration potential and country of origin.
Range per Ruist 2018
2015 prices
−53 000 kr
High integration potential
−74 000 kr
Average
−94 000 kr
Low integration potential
2015 · cross-section
−41.5 bn SEK
total for about 690,000 people in the refugee group (−SEK 60,000 per person, 2015 prices).
More recent data (NIER 2025)
−41.5 bn SEK−22 bn SEK
NIER Special Study 117: the refugee group's annual contribution in 2015 compared with 2022. Still negative — but less negative than in 2015. See history →
Breakdown · what is included in −SEK 74,000
The sunburst breaks down the public net cost per refugee — taxes in versus benefits, healthcare, schooling and services out.
Supplement · NIER 2025 · 2022 cross-section
NIER's Special Study 117 (June 2025) reports the 2022 net contributions. 2022 was a historically favourable year.
NIER's published estimate – foreign-born, 2022
+6 bn SEK
+0,1 % of GDP
Refugee group
−22 bn SEK
−0,4 % of GDP
Other foreign-born
+28 bn SEK
+0,5 % of GDP
Native-born
−6 bn SEK
−0,1 % of GDP
Published NIER estimate
+SEK 6bn (+0.1% of GDP) is NIER's modelled, static cross-sectional estimate for 2022 within the study's boundaries — not a complete booked profit from immigration.
Method status: The method is currently under review. NIER has announced a correction to the method description but has not published a replacement total.
Method note: the total in SEK bn and the “per person” figure rest on partly different cuts of NIER's model. the method note on Employment decides →
Context: The following historical metrics remain NIER's published series and are not changed by the alternative point: −16.1 bn SEK/year. Cumulative 1983–2022: +3 bn SEK. See history → By residence permit → Total cost →
Review · beyond the official numbers
Ruist and NIER measure only direct money in and out of the public purse. Here are four items that usually fall outside the headline figure.
How to read the +SEK 6bn figure
Municipal level
The state's standard grant lasts two years. After that the municipality carries income support, Swedish tuition, social services and schools on its own.
Read the review →
Crime
Brå 2021:9: foreign-born people are suspected of crime ~2.5 times as often, adjusted for age and sex. The cost of police and courts is not broken down by group.
Read the review →
Long-term
Demography, segregation, school results, dependency burden and trust — effects that build over 20–30 years and are invisible year by year.
Read the review →
Second generation
Children born in Sweden to two foreign-born parents count as Swedish-born in NIER's statistics — and drop out of the calculation. Brå: suspected ~3.2 times as often.
Read the review →
Local review
Search Sweden's 290 municipalities for an estimate of what immigration costs the public sector (taxes in minus benefits and services out) — based on NIER Special Study 117 (2025) and recomputed to fit each municipality's own population.
Inquiry · 1985 → 2025
Six key measures from the 1990s compared with today — plus six deep dives behind the numbers.
Fatal shootings per year
Source: Brå
Share foreign-born
Source: Statistics Sweden
Share with foreign background
Source: Statistics Sweden
Police: vulnerable areas
Source: Polisen, Lägesbild över utsatta områden 2025 (metodbyte: kategorin riskområde borttagen, vissa områden geografiskt uppdelade)
PISA reading
Source: OECD / National Agency for Education
Women feeling unsafe (late evening in their neighbourhood)
Source: Brå NTU
Note 2024: shootings fell from 391 (2022) to 296 (2024) and fatal shootings from 63 to 44 — a clear decline, but still far above the pre-2015 level. Source: the Swedish Police / Brå.
Sources: Brå · Police · Statistics Sweden · OECD/National Agency for Education · SOM Institute · Research · Trade-body surveys (Confederation of Swedish Enterprise)
Ahead of the 2026 election
Parliamentary votes, the migration index and the Tidö tracker — pledges compared with actual action.
Investigations & accountability
Four in-house investigations — from Code 291 and private providers to agency criticism and welfare fraud.
The police event coding around asylum housing in autumn 2015 — and what has happened since.
Read the review →
The private providers that earned the most from asylum and integration services — company by company.
See the list →
Collected criticism from independent oversight bodies, sorted by the agency responsible.
Open the register →
Incorrect payments, systematic fraud and organised crime against the welfare system.
Read the situation report →
Common claims
Claims repeated so often they're rarely examined. We take them one at a time — with public statistics.
Safety
Healthcare
Schools
Economy
Integration
Police 2025: 65 vulnerable areas · 19 particularly vulnerable
Average share of residents with a foreign background in the areas listed by the Police, compared with the national average. Unweighted mean — each area counts equally regardless of population. The area data below covers all 59 areas in the Police's historical 2023 situation report.
Source: The Swedish Police situation report · Statistics Sweden DeSO data · 59 areas
See the map and the situation report →Historical map data · Police 2023 (all 59 areas)
Frequently asked questions
The most common objections answered neutrally and with sources. All questions live on the FAQ page.
Primarily official statistics: Statistics Sweden, Brå, NIER, ESO, the Police, the OECD and the National Audit Office. Academic sources and industry surveys are flagged in context.
Single peak years (2022) or trough years exaggerate. We show 2015–2022 to capture both booms and downturns.
No. Ruist/ESO and NIER measure only direct money in and out of the public purse — not insecurity, sick leave or reduced trust.
We show both sides and link the primary source. We do not take a position for the reader.
Transparency & method
Primary sources first, ranges instead of single years, explicit limitations — and every correction logged openly with a date.
How sources are chosen, how uncertainty is handled and what the calculations do not cover.
Read the methodology
Every primary source — Brå, NIER, Statistics Sweden, the OECD, the Police — linked straight to the original report.
Open the source list
A public status overview of datasets, updates and known deviations.
See data status
Every correction, new figure and method adjustment is logged openly with date.
Open the log
The most common objections answered with sources.
All questions & answers →