Crime suspicion — over-risk (all offences)
- Swedish ref
- 1,0×
- First gen
- 2,5×
- Second gen
- 3,2×
- Source
- Brå 2021:9
Analysis · Second generation
Many of the challenges visible in statistics for persons with foreign background persist or intensify in the second generation. The data below is split by Swedish background, first generation (foreign-born) and second generation (born in Sweden with two foreign-born parents). Sources: the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brå 2021:9), SCB, the Swedish National Agency for Education and the National Board of Health and Welfare.
The question this page answers
What does the data actually show for persons born in Sweden with two foreign-born parents — and where does it differ from both the Swedish reference and the foreign-born group?
Key figures — the most important numbers on this page
Crime suspicion over-risk
3.2×
Brå 2021:9. 2nd gen vs Swedish ref.
Employment gap 20–64
−10 pp
SCB LFS 2024.
Income gap at age 30
−56 kSEK/yr
SCB STATIV 2022.
Share of population
≈ 11 %
SCB, narrow two-parent definition.
Crime suspicion
3,2×
over-risk vs Swedish ref. Brå 2021:9.
Employment gap
−10 pe
76% vs 86% Swedish ref. SCB AKU 2024.
Income gap at age 30
−56 tkr
326 vs 382 kSEK/yr. SCB STATIV 2022.
Snapshot · Three groups, three outcomes
For several central outcomes — crime suspicion, welfare support, school results — the over-representation does not decrease between the first and second generation. For crime it is even higher in the second generation according to Brå 2021:9. Aggregated statistics that lump the second generation together with the Swedish reference hide this.
Employment, ages 20–64
Source: SCB AKU 2024
Welfare support
Source: Socialstyrelsen 2023
Crime suspicion (over-risk)
Source: Brå 2021:9
Over-risk after controlling for age and sex. Reference group = Swedish-born with two Swedish-born parents.
| Metric | Swedish ref | First gen | Second gen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime suspicion — over-risk (all offences) | 1,0× | 2,5× | 3,2× | Brå 2021:9 |
| Robbery — over-risk | 1,0× | 4,1× | 5,7× | Brå 2021:9 |
| Violent crime — over-risk | 1,0× | 2,3× | 2,8× | Brå 2021:9 |
| Theft offences — over-risk | 1,0× | 2,9× | 3,3× | Brå 2021:9 |
| Sex offences — over-risk | 1,0× | 2,1× | 1,8× | Brå 2021:9 |
| Share of all suspects | ≈ 45 % | ≈ 38 % | ≈ 17 % | Brå 2021:9 (befolkningsandel: 73/16/11 %) |
The second generation's employment rate is closer to the Swedish reference than the first generation's — but a gap remains.
| Metric | Swedish ref | First gen | Second gen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate, ages 20–64 | 86 % | 67 % | 76 % | SCB AKU 2024 |
| Unemployment, ages 20–64 | 4,3 % | 12,5 % | 7,8 % | SCB AKU 2024 |
| Share with tertiary education | 44 % | 41 % | 39 % | SCB Utbildningsregistret 2024 |
| Median income at age 30 (kSEK/yr) | 382 | 287 | 326 | SCB STATIV 2022 |
| Welfare support at some point during year | 1,9 % | 9,8 % | 4,2 % | Socialstyrelsen 2023 |
The second generation performs better than the first, but does not reach the Swedish reference. PISA results follow the same pattern.
| Metric | Swedish ref | First gen | Second gen | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eligibility for upper-secondary (grade 9) | 89 % | 65 % | 80 % | Skolverket 2024 |
| Meets requirements in Swedish | 95 % | 70 % | 87 % | Skolverket 2024 |
| PISA score (mathematics, mean) | 501 | 428 | 467 | Skolverket PISA 2022 |
| Upper-secondary drop-out within 5 years | 13 % | 28 % | 21 % | Skolverket 2023 |
The Police situation report of June 2023 lists 59 areas (17 particularly vulnerable, 15 risk areas, 27 vulnerable). In these areas the share of persons with foreign background is on average 74 % — compared with the national average of 27 %.
Särskilt utsatt område
17 areas
Avg. foreign background: 81 %
Område där allmän obenägenhet att delta i rättsprocessen, svårighet för polisen att fullgöra sitt uppdrag, parallella samhällsstrukturer, religiös extremism och systematiska hot mot vittnen förekommer. Polisens högsta klassning.
Riskområde
15 areas
Avg. foreign background: 74 %
Område som inte uppfyller alla kriterier för särskilt utsatt, men där flera indikatorer (våldskapital, parallella strukturer, otrygghet) ligger på en sådan nivå att området riskerar att bli särskilt utsatt.
Utsatt område
27 areas
Avg. foreign background: 69 %
Geografiskt avgränsat område med låg socioekonomisk status och kriminell påverkan på lokalsamhället. Polisen har svårt att fullgöra sitt uppdrag i området.
| Area | Municipality | Category | Foreign background | vs national |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby | Borås | Särskilt utsatt område | 90.1 % | +63 pe |
| Rinkeby/Tensta | Stockholm | Särskilt utsatt område | 89 % | +62 pe |
| Fittja | Botkyrka | Särskilt utsatt område | 88 % | +61 pe |
| Rosengård | Malmö | Särskilt utsatt område | 87 % | +60 pe |
| Husby | Stockholm | Särskilt utsatt område | 86 % | +59 pe |
| Hjällbo | Göteborg | Särskilt utsatt område | 84 % | +57 pe |
| Hallunda/Norsborg | Botkyrka | Särskilt utsatt område | 82 % | +55 pe |
| Ronna/Geneta/Lina | Södertälje | Särskilt utsatt område | 82 % | +55 pe |
| Alby | Botkyrka | Särskilt utsatt område | 82 % | +55 pe |
| Hovsjö | Södertälje | Särskilt utsatt område | 81 % | +54 pe |
| Hammarkullen | Göteborg | Särskilt utsatt område | 80 % | +53 pe |
| Nydala/Hermodsdal/Lindängen | Malmö | Särskilt utsatt område | 79 % | +52 pe |
| Vivalla | Örebro | Särskilt utsatt område | 78 % | +51 pe |
| Lövgärdet | Göteborg | Särskilt utsatt område | 75 % | +48 pe |
| Skäggetorp | Linköping | Särskilt utsatt område | 74 % | +47 pe |
| Bergsjön | Göteborg | Särskilt utsatt område | 72 % | +45 pe |
| Hässleholmen/Hulta | Borås | Särskilt utsatt område | 67 % | +40 pe |
| Tjärna Ängar | Borlänge | Riskområde | 90 % | +63 pe |
| Fornhöjden | Södertälje | Riskområde | 85.5 % | +59 pe |
| Oxhagen/Varberga | Örebro | Riskområde | 83.3 % | +56 pe |
| Holma/Kroksbäck/Bellevuegården | Malmö | Riskområde | 80 % | +53 pe |
| Biskopsgården | Göteborg | Riskområde | 78 % | +51 pe |
| Araby | Växjö | Riskområde | 76 % | +49 pe |
| Södra Sofielund (Seved) | Malmö | Riskområde | 75 % | +48 pe |
| Rissne/Hallonbergen | Sundbyberg | Riskområde | 73.4 % | +46 pe |
| Sigtuna/Valsta | Sigtuna | Riskområde | 72 % | +45 pe |
| Kronogården/Lextorp/Sylte | Trollhättan | Riskområde | 72 % | +45 pe |
| Dalhem/Drottninghög/Fredriksdal | Helsingborg | Riskområde | 70 % | +43 pe |
| Söder | Helsingborg | Riskområde | 65 % | +38 pe |
| Gottsunda | Uppsala | Riskområde | 64 % | +37 pe |
| Tureberg | Sollentuna | Riskområde | 60 % | +33 pe |
| Tynnered/Grevegården/Opaltorget | Göteborg | Riskområde | 60 % | +33 pe |
| Gamlegården | Kristianstad | Utsatt område | 85.9 % | +59 pe |
| Fröslunda | Eskilstuna | Utsatt område | 80.5 % | +54 pe |
| Årby | Eskilstuna | Utsatt område | 80.1 % | +53 pe |
| Vårberg | Stockholm | Utsatt område | 78.6 % | +52 pe |
| Grantorp/Visättra | Huddinge | Utsatt område | 78.1 % | +51 pe |
| Vårby | Huddinge | Utsatt område | 78 % | +51 pe |
| Gårdsten | Göteborg | Utsatt område | 78 % | +51 pe |
| Fisksätra | Nacka | Utsatt område | 76.3 % | +49 pe |
| Hageby | Norrköping | Utsatt område | 75 % | +48 pe |
| Saltskog | Södertälje | Utsatt område | 74 % | +47 pe |
| Storvreten | Botkyrka | Utsatt område | 74 % | +47 pe |
| Bredäng | Stockholm | Utsatt område | 73 % | +46 pe |
| Råslätt | Jönköping | Utsatt område | 72 % | +45 pe |
| Hagsätra/Rågsved | Stockholm | Utsatt område | 68 % | +41 pe |
| Hisings Backa | Göteborg | Utsatt område | 66 % | +39 pe |
| Andersberg | Halmstad | Utsatt område | 65 % | +38 pe |
| Bäckby | Västerås | Utsatt område | 64.6 % | +38 pe |
| Finnsta | Upplands-Bro | Utsatt område | 64.2 % | +37 pe |
| Jordbro | Haninge | Utsatt område | 64 % | +37 pe |
| Navestad | Norrköping | Utsatt område | 62.5 % | +36 pe |
| Skiftinge | Eskilstuna | Utsatt område | 61.8 % | +35 pe |
| Hässelby/Vällingby | Stockholm | Utsatt område | 60 % | +33 pe |
| Brandbergen | Haninge | Utsatt område | 60 % | +33 pe |
| Karlslund | Landskrona | Utsatt område | 60 % | +33 pe |
| Hagalund | Solna | Utsatt område | 59 % | +32 pe |
| Skogås | Huddinge | Utsatt område | 55 % | +28 pe |
| Sångvägen | Järfälla | Utsatt område | 53.1 % | +26 pe |
Sources: Police situation report on vulnerable areas (June 2023), SCB DeSO statistics, Delmos final report 2023. Foreign background = foreign-born or Swedish-born with two foreign-born parents. Police definition ↗
Definition comparison
There is no international standard for who counts as the second generation. The criteria below are taken from each statistics agency's own definition. We do not recalculate Swedish population figures to another definition: a definition is not a conversion factor, and shares can only be shown when the respective agency has itself published them.
🇸🇪 Sweden · SCB — Statistiska centralbyrån
Persons with a foreign background are those born abroad and those born in Sweden with two foreign-born parents.
Comparability: Based solely on country of birth. Citizenship is not part of the criterion.
Published share: 26.5 % (2023) — SCB, Befolkningsstatistik BE0101 (utländsk/svensk bakgrund)
SCB — Personer med utländsk bakgrund (MIS 2002:3) ↗🇩🇰 Denmark · Danmarks Statistik (DST)
Immigrants: persons born abroad where neither parent is both a Danish citizen and born in Denmark. Descendants: persons born in Denmark where neither parent is both a Danish citizen and born in Denmark. Persons of Danish origin: persons — regardless of birthplace — with at least one parent who is both a Danish citizen and born in Denmark.
Comparability: Combines country of birth AND citizenship. Differs from Statistics Sweden, which uses country of birth only — the same person can be classified differently.
Published share: 14.4 % (1 januari 2022) — Danmarks Statistik, Bagtal: Fakta om indvandrere og efterkommere (2022-08-18)
Danmarks Statistik — definition av indvandrere, efterkommere og personer med dansk oprindelse (2024-09-20) ↗🇩🇪 Germany · Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis)
The definition covers all persons who either themselves (immigrants) or whose both parents (descendants of immigrants) immigrated to present-day Germany since 1950.
Comparability: Narrower than the older Migrationshintergrund concept and not comparable with it. The requirement that BOTH parents immigrated resembles Sweden's two-foreign-born-parents rule, but Germany also applies a 1950 cut-off and counts immigration rather than country of birth alone.
Published share: 25.6 % (2024) — Destatis, Pressemitteilung Nr. 181 (2025-05-22): 21,2 miljoner personer med Einwanderungsgeschichte
Destatis — Hintergrundpapier: Einwanderungsgeschichte ↗Methodological context — concepts published in parallel
Context — criteria in other countries (not part of the canonical comparison)
The full definition comparison with sources, versions and comparability flags is available at /definitioner.
Objective observations — not interpretations
Short answers to what is most often discussed
Logical next steps if you want to understand the background
Demographics
Population composition by background — the starting point.
Projection by origin 2050
How the share with foreign background could develop by 2050.
Labour market by cohort
Employment over time for different arrival cohorts.
Crime
Brå 2021:9 in its full context, with controls and caveats.
Long-run consequences
Chapter 4 — what were the effects, measured over time.
This is not a full socioeconomic analysis – only an estimate of direct public revenues and expenditures.
Further: Crime · Long-run consequences · Sources
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