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How the figures should — and should not — be interpreted

• The analyses are static cross-sectional or lifecycle calculations based on register data.
• Indirect and dynamic effects (wages, employment of the native-born, growth, innovation, crime, housing market, etc.) are not included.
• Future outcomes are uncertain and rely on assumptions about employment, incomes and welfare consumption.
• The net contribution improved markedly from 2017 onwards — lower refugee inflow, better integration and continued labour migration.
• Refugees' contribution is strongly negative for the first 10–15 years, turns positive after about 15–30 years, and negative again after about 40 years due to pensions.

This is not a full socioeconomic analysis – only an estimate of direct public revenues and expenditures.