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SVERIGEFAKTA
Demographics & Society

Healthcare 13–17

Youth gender dysphoria — what diagnosis statistics show

Sweden's National Board of Health and Welfare report 2020-2-6600 describes an increase in newly diagnosed individuals, particularly among 13–17-year-olds recorded as female at birth. Figure 3 on page 7 reports new individuals per 100,000, not the previously displayed absolute annual counts.

Memory

Registered diagnoses, newly diagnosed individuals and clinic referrals are different measures. Register statistics alone cannot explain why a change occurred.

Registered diagnosis

F64

National Patient Register

Report 2020-2-6600

2020

Figure 3 · page 7

What the diagnosis data shows

Figure 3 on page 7 of report 2020-2-6600 describes newly diagnosed individuals per 100,000. The former absolute annual counts were not substantiated and no mixed diagnosis/referral comparison is displayed.

What the evidence can answer

A registered diagnosis is not population prevalence. Newly diagnosed individuals, care contacts and clinic referrals are distinct measures.

In closing

Which measure, population and period does the source describe? Establish this before making a comparison.

Sources for this page

The data comes from official primary sources.

Read the full investigation of how Sweden has changed.

Back to overview →

The question this page answers

How have diagnoses, assessments and care for gender dysphoria in children and adolescents developed over time according to official data and medical guidelines?

At a glance

Key figures — the most important numbers on this page

ICD-10 code (Sweden)

F64

Gender identity disorders in the report’s ICD-10 classification.

Karolinska/ALB

May 2021

Ends routine puberty suppression / hormone treatment of minors outside research studies.

SBU 307/341

Feb 2022

Evidence for hormonal treatment of minors judged insufficient; long-term follow-up missing.

National Board of Health — new guidelines

Dec 2022

Puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones for minors only within research or selected exceptions.

National Board of Health — national guidelines

Feb 2026

Prioritisation support for decision-makers on resources in regional healthcare. Mainly concerns adults; several recommendations also apply to children. An updated version is announced for the end of 2026.

Cass Review (NHS England)

Apr 2024

Systematic review: evidence for hormone treatment of minors is weak; routine care reconsidered.

Surgery (Sweden)

Age 18

Gender-affirming surgery is generally performed only from adulthood.

Method consequence

Small population

Absolute numbers are low → annual percentage swings look dramatic but are statistically noisy.

What does the data show?

Objective observations — not interpretations

  • The statistics show the number of individuals with an F64 diagnosis registered in care — not how many in the population experience gender dysphoria.
  • SBU (2019/2022), the National Board of Health and Welfare (2022) and the Cass Review (2024) all conclude that the evidence for puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones in minors is insufficient — not that treatment is proven harmful, but that long-term studies are missing.
  • Guidelines differ between countries and organisations: WPATH SoC 8 (2022) is more permissive than NHS England/Cass, NICE and the Swedish updated recommendations.
  • Register data do not establish the cause of the change.

Method note
Incidence concerns newly diagnosed individuals during a period; figure 3 reports new individuals per 100,000. Prevalence concerns individuals with a registered diagnosis during the source’s period. Care contacts, diagnosed individuals and referrals are distinct measures, not population prevalence. Changed referral pathways (from child psychiatry to specialised teams) and changed diagnostic criteria (DSM-IV → DSM-5, ICD-10 → ICD-11) shift the time series. At small populations (low hundreds per year) individual clinics or single-year variation cause large percentage swings — always compare absolute numbers, age and sex separately.

Definitions

How the numbers are counted — and what they do not cover

Sex (legal)
The sex a person is registered with under the Swedish 1972:119 Act on determination of sex.
Gender identity
A person's internal experience of their gender. May or may not align with legal or bodily sex.
Gender expression
Outward expression such as clothing, name, address and body language linked to gender.
Gender dysphoria
Clinically significant distress from a mismatch between gender identity and assigned/bodily sex. Diagnosed under DSM-5 (Gender Dysphoria) and ICD-10 F64.0/F64.2.
Gender incongruence
ICD-11 term (HA60) replacing F64. Classified outside the chapter on mental disorders.
F64
ICD-10 codes for gender identity disorders. F64.0 transsexualism (adults), F64.2 gender identity disorder of childhood.
Referral
Written referral from e.g. child psychiatry or primary care to a specialised assessment unit. Recorded but does not equal diagnosis.
Assessment
Multidisciplinary medical and psychological evaluation preceding any diagnosis and treatment.
Puberty suppression
GnRH analogues delaying puberty. In Sweden after 2022, only within research or selected exceptions for minors.
Cross-sex hormones
Oestrogen or testosterone producing secondary characteristics of the experienced gender.
Gender-affirming surgery
Chest, genital or facial surgery. Generally requires adulthood in Sweden.
Social transition
Change of name, pronoun, clothing or hair without medical treatment. Not a medical intervention but can affect assessment.
Informed consent
Requirement that the patient (and, for minors, guardians) have received adequate information on benefits, risks and uncertainties.
Strength of evidence
Assessment of certainty, often via GRADE: high/moderate/low/very low. SBU and Cass rate hormone treatment of minors as low/very low.
Systematic review
Structured research synthesis that searches, appraises and combines all relevant studies under a pre-defined protocol.
Long-term follow-up
Follow-up beyond 5–10 years post-treatment. Largely missing for minors receiving hormonal treatment.
DSM-5
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th ed. (APA, 2013). Uses ‘Gender Dysphoria’.
ICD-10 / ICD-11
WHO classification. Sweden currently uses ICD-10 (F64); transition to ICD-11 (HA60 gender incongruence) planned.
SBU
Swedish Agency for Health Technology Assessment. Systematic reviews of the evidence for treatments.
National Board guidelines
National recommendations for gender dysphoria care. Updated 2015 and December 2022. The 2022 knowledge support applies only to children and adolescents; the National Board of Health and Welfare states that it will be updated in the future.
National guidelines 2026 (National Board of Health and Welfare)
National guidelines 2026: Gender dysphoria — prioritisation support for those deciding on resources in regional healthcare (art. no. 2026-2-10054, published 17 February 2026; summary art. no. 2026-2-10053). They mainly concern adults, but several recommendations also apply to children. The agency states that updated guidelines for decision-makers will be published at the end of 2026, taking into account comments on the first version.
Cass Review
Independent review of NHS England care for gender dysphoria in children and adolescents. Final report April 2024.
WPATH
World Professional Association for Transgender Health — an international professional body. Issues Standards of Care (SoC 8, 2022).
NICE
National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (UK). Published 2020 evidence reviews of puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones.

Primary sources

Agencies and research institutions behind this page

5

agencies/institutions

7

reports & studies

3

primary datasets

Frequently asked questions

Short answers to what is most often discussed

Clinically significant distress arising when a person's gender identity does not align with their assigned/bodily sex. Diagnostic criteria are in DSM-5 (Gender Dysphoria) and ICD-10 (F64). ICD-11 uses ‘gender incongruence’ (HA60) and places the condition outside the mental-disorders chapter.

Logical next steps if you want to understand the background