Model register
All models, projections and own calculations
Every active artefact that is not official statistics taken directly from the source has its own model card with primary sources, inputs, the exact operation, assumptions, uncertainty, limitations, scope of validity, version and code/data reference.
14 items · 10 reproducible · 4 partly reproducible · 0 HOLD
In-house calculation
- KI 117 — publicerat netto och attribuerat alternativ
Present NIER’s 2022 results and Sanandaji’s explicitly attributed approximation without mixing populations or filling missing sub-values.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Kohorternas årliga nettokostnad — ingen ackumulering
Present the authors’ annual net cost during follow-up; no 10-/20-year or lifetime totals remain.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- DeSO-skalning av stadsdelsandelar
Scale an existing DeSO anchor to other years; a scaled value is not observed local statistics.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Statsskuldens årskostnad fördelad per sekund
Convert published annual cost to an illustrative average rate; debt stock and cost flow are different measures.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- KI-klockan — fördelning av 2022 års netto
Distribute the refugee and family group’s calculated annual net of −SEK 22bn across time intervals, not measure observed spending in real time.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Inflationsjustering av belopp
Convert amounts between verified CPI years; the default target is the latest complete year 2025, not observed 2026 prices.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
Model estimate
- Illustrativ annuitetssimulator med KI som metodreferens
Show sensitivity to own assumptions about annual net and present value; not reproduce NIER results or its lifecycle model.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- What-if — egna parameterantaganden
Show parameter sensitivity for cost and an approximate municipal gap, not estimated effects of policy requirements.
Partially reproducible · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Skatteschablon 2026 — brutto och lönekostnad
Show simplified tax and employer contributions for 2026, not exact net pay or an individual tax assessment.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
Projection
- Kommunframskrivning av utländsk bakgrund (Modell 1)
Show illustrative municipal history and future outside available SCB observations; not observed municipal statistics or a Statistics Sweden forecast.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Försörjningskvot och separata Pew-scenarier
Show a Statistics Sweden-derived age ratio through 2060 and Pew’s conditional Sweden scenarios for 2050; not LU2023 lifetime net values or own origin scenarios.
Reproducible — verified in test · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Kostnadsresan — linjär räkneövning till 2040
Show an own linear arithmetic exercise for 2023–2040 from NIER’s evidenced +SEK 6bn in 2022; older unbound history points are not shown.
Partially reproducible · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Lokalt underlag — befolkning 2024, 2050-serie återkallad
Show verified 2024 population in ten municipalities; earlier 2050 shares and school segregation series are withdrawn without a replacement model.
Partially reproducible · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Avslutande temasvar — framskrivning endast där belagd
Describe the current page’s closing answer without claiming every topic page has a calculated trend or interval.
Partially reproducible · v2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11