Forecast / scenarioModelledPartially reproducible
Closing topic answers — projection only where evidenced
Describe the current page’s closing answer without claiming every topic page has a calculated trend or interval.
- Data → operation → output
- Bombings: Brå 162 reported offences in 2018 and 621 in 2025 (preliminary). Other topics may have no projection or present a Pew scenario. → Bombings: 621+(621−162)/(2025−2018)×(2035−2025)=1,276.7, rounded ≈1,300. Endpoint slope, not a regression model or interval. Other answers are page-specific static content. → Temasidornas avslutande avsnitt
- Primary sources
- Assumptions
- Continuation of the endpoint slope is an own assumption only where actually used.
- Observed vs modelled
- Brå’s reported-crime series and the Police’s completed detonations are distinct measures; 2035 is an arithmetic exercise. Pew is an attributed scenario, not an own extrapolation.
- Uncertainty
- No probability or confidence interval for the mechanical continuation.
- Limitations
- Free text is not automatically recalculated when data update. No general guarantee for all topics; no new topic audit is included.
- Scope of validity
- Each page/series; the bombing example Sweden 2018–2025→2035, number of reported offences/year.
- Reproducibility
- The bombing example’s arithmetic binds the corrected text to 162/621; other texts are not a shared calculation function.
- Version
- 2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11
- Code/data reference
src/data/wtf-pages.ts, src/data/wtf-pages-extra.ts