NIER 117 — published net and attributed alternative

NIER 117 — published net and attributed alternative

Present NIER’s 2022 results and Sanandaji’s explicitly attributed approximation without mixing populations or filling missing sub-values.

Data → operation → output

NIER table 1 p. 16: +6/−22/+28/−6 bn SEK, +0.1% GDP and SEK 2,700/person; alternative total ≈ −110 bn SEK. → getKi117Observation/getKi117PresentationRows: static lookup. Published rounded per-person values are not back-calculated from totals. Missing alternative sub-values are null. → /, /historik, /jamforelser, /lonsam-for-vem, Faktamotorn

Primary sources

• Konjunkturinstitutet — Specialstudie 117, tabell 1 och diagramunderlag (2025-06-04) ↗
• Tino Sanandaji — alternativ beräkning, Bulletin 2026-09-11 ↗

Assumptions

• No new arithmetic; each author’s allocation and scope apply.

Observed vs modelled

NIER results are calculated cross-sectional net contributions, not direct spending observations. The alternative is a third-party approximation, not NIER statistics.

Uncertainty

A methodological difference is not a statistical error interval.

Limitations

• The alternative lacks a comparable population denominator, GDP share, subgroups and historical series.

Scope of validity

Sweden, 2022 cross-section/SEK; foreign-born under each scope, with a separate native-born comparison.

Reproducibility

Published values, separate modes and missing sub-values are reproduced in deterministic tests.

Version

2.1 · last verified 2026-10-11

Code/data reference

src/lib/ki117/calculation.ts