ProjectionModelledNot reproducible — HOLD
Lokal framskrivning — kommunandelar och skolsegregationsindex
Show municipality-level population shares to 2050 and a school-segregation index over time on the local-projection page.
- Data → operation → output
- Municipal population and share values for 2024 and 2050; School-segregation index per measurement year → No in-house arithmetic in the code: the values sit as static table rows and are reproduced unchanged. → /lokal-framskrivning
- Assumptions
- That the static table values correspond to each authority's published main scenario.
- Observed vs modelled
- 2024 is stated as outcome and 2050 as a projection by the source. Sverigefakta does not model its own value.
- Uncertainty
- Municipality-level projections carry greater uncertainty than the national level and are reported here without an interval.
- Limitations
- The selection of municipalities is editorial and is not a random or comprehensive sample.
- The municipal shares refer to the foreign-born and must not be read as foreign background.
- Scope of validity
- A selection of Swedish municipalities, the years 2024 and 2050.
- Reproducibility
- HOLD: the individual table values are not tied to a named table or extract from Statistics Sweden or the National Agency for Education in the repository, so an external reviewer cannot follow data → operation → result. The values must be tied to an exact source table or be unpublished.
- Version
- 1.0 · last verified 2026-09-15
- Code/data reference
src/data/lokal-framskrivning.ts